Now that all the gnashing of teeth has ended after the Republicans managed to hold on to the Georgia Sixth, perhaps we can step back and...
Here are my final tests for who is ahead in the swing states. The situation looks rather bleak for Donald Trump. As in 2012, I am...
Donald Trump has gained ground over Hillary Clinton during the campaign, but the combined effect of events leaves her with a predicted five-point advantage on Election...
I have expanded the list of states that might play a role in determining the outcome of the Presidential vote in the fall. For each state...
As in every Presidential election, the outcome will be determined by a very small number of states. As I did in 2012, I have compiled the...
As most everyone who follows politics knows by now, we enter the unprecedented 2016 Presidential election with the candidates of both major parties disliked by a...
Without a President seeking re-election at the top of the ticket, the Democrats face a substantial challenge if they wish to win back the Senate in...
Pollsters have conducted over 44,000 interviews among Iowa’s 160,000 Republicans, but they probably interviewed just 15,000 unique people. A majority of those polled took part in...
Trump fares better in polls conducted by robots; Sanders polls better when humans conduct the interview. Sanders also shows greater strength in polls of “likely” voters....
Political observers were shocked when the Republican candidate for governor in Kentucky, Matt Bevin, won a resounding victory over Democrat Jack Conway. Conway, the incumbent Attorney...