Three more Republican House Members announced they would not seek re-election this week, bringing the total number of retiring Republican Members to 34 according to the...
The pace of Republican retirements predicts that Democrats should take back control of the House of Representatives this fall by a margin of eight or nine...
Comparing last night’s results for the Special Election in Alabama to prior elections in that state shows the path which brought Doug Jones his unlikely victory. ...
Alabama’s citizens will head to the polls to vote in the most competitive Senate election that state has seen for decades. Democrat Doug Jones is trying...
In the preceding two articles I analysed the prospects that the Democrats could regain control of the House of Representatives. The combined effects of gerrymandering and...
In the previous article I showed that Democrats must win at least 53 percent of the national two-party vote for Congress in order to retake control...
Now that all the gnashing of teeth has ended after the Republicans managed to hold on to the Georgia Sixth, perhaps we can step back and...
Here are my final tests for who is ahead in the swing states. The situation looks rather bleak for Donald Trump. As in 2012, I am...
Donald Trump has gained ground over Hillary Clinton during the campaign, but the combined effect of events leaves her with a predicted five-point advantage on Election...
I have expanded the list of states that might play a role in determining the outcome of the Presidential vote in the fall. For each state...
