Reading Nate Silver’s 538 blog I see commentators wondering whether the margin in the polls naturally tightens as the election approaches. For 2008 I can say...
The price for ten contracts at Intrade on Barack Obama winning the Presidential election has fallen some twelve dollars since September 29th, and fully seven dollars...
Twenty minutes into this event I thought the candidates had managed to lose at least half the audience. A snooze fest cuts both ways, though. This...
I have been looking at a couple of the polling reports from the past week. Every single poll for every Federal race is listed at RealClearPolitics. ...
