The Hartford Courant/UConn poll at Obama+3 took a bit of the sting out of the Gallup Tracking result of Romney+7. President Obama is still projected to...
Discussions have surfaced again over the possibility of a President being elected without a popular vote majority. The relationship between the winning candidate’s Electoral Vote margin...
I looked at the internals of the two polls. CBS used a subsample of a large pre-recruited national online sample who agree to be interviewed over...
Following the same procedures discussed in other postings here, I have regressed the size of the Obama lead in polls of likely voters taken after July...
This graph presents the pre-debate and post-debate trends in polls conducted during the 2004 election. RCP does not report whether the data represent registered voters or...
I have been trying to determine whether President Obama’s current standing in the polls is running ahead or behind this time four years ago. To answer...
Reading Nate Silver’s 538 blog I see commentators wondering whether the margin in the polls naturally tightens as the election approaches. For 2008 I can say...
The price for ten contracts at Intrade on Barack Obama winning the Presidential election has fallen some twelve dollars since September 29th, and fully seven dollars...
Twenty minutes into this event I thought the candidates had managed to lose at least half the audience. A snooze fest cuts both ways, though. This...
I have been looking at a couple of the polling reports from the past week. Every single poll for every Federal race is listed at RealClearPolitics. ...
