Skip to content

Politics by the Numbers

Political analysis for the numerically inclined

Is it 2004 all over again?

Read more
  • October 27, 2012

Using the 141 national likely-voter polls from the Pollster database since July 1st we can examine how the dynamics of the race have changed since the...

2012 Presidential Election

Polling Results in the Competitive States

Read more
  • October 22, 2012

President leads in three states that would cement an Electoral College victory The Electoral Vote application at the New York Times has allocated all but nine...

2012 Presidential Election

Polling Update

Read more
  • October 22, 2012

A bunch of new polls today, October 23rd, show more positive results for the President than we have seen recently. Our trend model still detects no...

2012 Presidential Election

What can we learn from the Kerry/Bush 2004 debate effect?

Read more
  • October 19, 2012

This graph presents the pre-debate and post-debate trends in polls conducted during the 2004 election.  RCP does not report whether the data represent registered voters or...

2012 Presidential Election

Obama survives Gallup with a bit of help from Hartford

Read more
  • October 18, 2012

The Hartford Courant/UConn poll at Obama+3 took a bit of the sting out of the Gallup Tracking result of Romney+7.  President Obama is still projected to...

2012 Presidential Election

Winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote

Read more
  • October 15, 2012

Discussions have surfaced again over the possibility of a President being elected without a popular vote majority.  The relationship between the winning candidate’s Electoral Vote margin...

2012 Presidential Election

Comments on VP Debate insta-polls

Read more
  • October 13, 2012

I looked at the internals of the two polls. CBS used a subsample of a large pre-recruited national online sample who agree to be interviewed over...

Technical Topics

President Obama’s loses his lead in national likely-voter polls after the Denver debate

Read more
  • October 12, 2012

Following the same procedures discussed in other postings here, I have regressed the size of the Obama lead in polls of likely voters taken after July...

2012 Presidential Election

2004 First Debate Results Suggest Race Could Stagnate

Read more
  • October 12, 2012

This graph presents the pre-debate and post-debate trends in polls conducted during the 2004 election.  RCP does not report whether the data represent registered voters or...

2012 Presidential Election

Follow the Yellow Brick Road

Read more
  • October 8, 2012

I have been trying to determine whether President Obama’s current standing in the polls is running ahead or behind this time four years ago. To answer...

2012 Presidential Election
Page 10 of 11« First«...7891011»

House Retirements 2021-2022

Recent Posts

  • Ideological Locations in the 118th Congress
  • What Drives Biden’s Job Approval
  • Technical Appendix for “What Drives Biden’s Job Approval”
  • Technical Appendix for “Not All Midterms are Created Equal”
  • Not All Midterms are Created Equal

Categories

  • 2012 Presidential Election
  • 2016 Presidential Election
  • 2020 Presidential Election
  • 2020 Presidential Primaries
  • 2022 Congressional Election
  • Climate
  • Congressional Elections
  • COVID-19
  • Data Library
  • General
  • Gerrymandering
  • Gubernatorial Elections
  • Gun Violence
  • Health Insurance Coverage
  • House Retirements
  • Immigration
  • Poll Reports
  • Presidential Approval
  • Presidential Elections
  • Presidential Primaries
  • Roll-Call Votes
  • Senatorial Elections
  • Surveillance
  • Technical Topics
  • Uncategorized

Archives

Politics by the Numbers © 2023. All Rights Reserved.

Powered by WordPress. Theme by Alx.

We are using cookies to give you the best experience on our website.

You can find out more about which cookies we are using or switch them off in settings.

Politics by the Numbers
Powered by  GDPR Cookie Compliance
Privacy Overview

This website uses cookies so that we can provide you with the best user experience possible. Cookie information is stored in your browser and performs functions such as recognising you when you return to our website and helping our team to understand which sections of the website you find most interesting and useful.

Strictly Necessary Cookies

Strictly Necessary Cookie should be enabled at all times so that we can save your preferences for cookie settings.

If you disable this cookie, we will not be able to save your preferences. This means that every time you visit this website you will need to enable or disable cookies again.