A simple trend model predicts Joe Biden will hold a lead in the polls between 9.8 and thirteen points on Election Day. Biden has increased his...
Poll Reports
I have compiled the results of generic-ballot polls taken near to an election and compared them to the actual division of the Congressional vote. The table...
Democrats would lead by nearly fourteen points in “generic” Congressional ballot polls next November if the trends seen since Trump took office continue. I have written...
Alabama’s citizens will head to the polls to vote in the most competitive Senate election that state has seen for decades. Democrat Doug Jones is trying...
As in every Presidential election, the outcome will be determined by a very small number of states. As I did in 2012, I have compiled the...
As most everyone who follows politics knows by now, we enter the unprecedented 2016 Presidential election with the candidates of both major parties disliked by a...
Pollsters have conducted over 44,000 interviews among Iowa’s 160,000 Republicans, but they probably interviewed just 15,000 unique people. A majority of those polled took part in...
The results above come from the 145 national Republican primary polls as archived by Huffington Post Pollster whose fieldwork was completed after June 30, 2015, and...
Trump fares better in polls conducted by robots; Sanders polls better when humans conduct the interview. Sanders also shows greater strength in polls of “likely” voters....
In today’s New York Times Charles Blow cites a finding from a recent CNN/ORC poll where 47 percent of Republican respondents agreed that the House Select...
