In the states where redistricting maps have been released, Democrats appear to be about ten seats behind the number they would receive based solely on the...
Gerrymandering
The first new redistricting maps based on the 2020 Census have begun to appear, occasioning the usual questions about whether a state has been gerrymandered or...
During oral argument in Rucho v. Common Cause, the North Carolina gerrymandering case, the Supreme Court and the attorneys for the parties considered a variety of...
These regressions measure the relationship between the percent of seats awarded to Democrats as a function of the percent of votes that party won. The “national-level”...
In my last post I considered what I called the “Breyer criterion” for identifying partisan gerrymandering — a party winning half the vote in a state...
On March 26th the Supreme Court heard oral argument in Rucho v. Common Cause. The case concerns whether North Carolina’s post-2010 electoral map so disadvantages Democratic...
Democrats have won, on average, about eight fewer seats in each election since 2010 than we would expect given their popular vote. The surge in Democratic...
Democratic governors in seven “red” states, and Republicans in two “blue” ones, will help insulate 81 likely Congressional seats from gerrymandering after 2020. Redistricting for another...
Elections this fall may limit the extent of gerrymandering for some 200 House seats after the 2020 Census. Americans will elect thirty-four governors to four-year terms...
In “split-control” states, Republicans won 6.2 percent more seats than expected when they held the governorship; when Democrats held that office, Republicans won 6.5 percent fewer...
