Here are my final tests for who is ahead in the swing states. The situation looks rather bleak for Donald Trump. As in 2012, I am...
2016 Presidential Election
Donald Trump has gained ground over Hillary Clinton during the campaign, but the combined effect of events leaves her with a predicted five-point advantage on Election...
In the past few weeks, Pollster has begun reporting multiple results for a single poll. Some polling organizations have been reporting separate results for Democratic, Republican,...
I have expanded the list of states that might play a role in determining the outcome of the Presidential vote in the fall. For each state...
As in every Presidential election, the outcome will be determined by a very small number of states. As I did in 2012, I have compiled the...
As most everyone who follows politics knows by now, we enter the unprecedented 2016 Presidential election with the candidates of both major parties disliked by a...
Pollsters have conducted over 44,000 interviews among Iowa’s 160,000 Republicans, but they probably interviewed just 15,000 unique people. A majority of those polled took part in...
The results above come from the 145 national Republican primary polls as archived by Huffington Post Pollster whose fieldwork was completed after June 30, 2015, and...
Trump fares better in polls conducted by robots; Sanders polls better when humans conduct the interview. Sanders also shows greater strength in polls of “likely” voters....
In today’s New York Times Charles Blow cites a finding from a recent CNN/ORC poll where 47 percent of Republican respondents agreed that the House Select...
