Removing Bill deBlasio from the favorability model leads to a slightly more positive slope and a less negative intercept. With deBlasio included: Same relationship without deBlasio....
Peter Lemieux
The polling organizations at both Quinnipiac and Monmouth Colleges this week released “favorability” scores for all the Democratic candidates. Respondents are asked “is your opinion of...
During oral argument in Rucho v. Common Cause, the North Carolina gerrymandering case, the Supreme Court and the attorneys for the parties considered a variety of...
These regressions measure the relationship between the percent of seats awarded to Democrats as a function of the percent of votes that party won. The “national-level”...
In my last post I considered what I called the “Breyer criterion” for identifying partisan gerrymandering — a party winning half the vote in a state...
On March 26th the Supreme Court heard oral argument in Rucho v. Common Cause. The case concerns whether North Carolina’s post-2010 electoral map so disadvantages Democratic...
Thirty-six percent of 18-49 households with a man present own guns as compared to just sixteen percent in households with no man in residence. Gun ownership...
Only twice in nine elections has the eventual Democratic nominee not won one of Iowa or New Hampshire. Iowa remains fairly wide open, but Bernie Sanders...
House Democrats have been resisting pressures from the most intensely anti-Trump part of their party who think impeachment should begin now. Congressional Democrats have instead taken...
Iowa Democrats’ preference for Midwesterners may work to Amy Klobuchar’s advantage. Whatever strategic reasoning influenced Amy Klobuchar to announce her almost-certain decision to run for President,...
