In the states where redistricting maps have been released, Democrats appear to be about ten seats behind the number they would receive based solely on the...
Redistricting Update – 1
Redistricting Update – 1
The 2021 Redistricting Scorecard
The 2021 Redistricting Scorecard
A Simple Dynamic Model of US Turnout
A Simple Dynamic Model of US Turnout
Reforming the Electoral College
Reforming the Electoral College
The first new redistricting maps based on the 2020 Census have begun to appear, occasioning the usual questions about whether a state has been gerrymandered or...
Voter turnouts in 2022 and 2024 are likely to run just a bit below their historical high points in 2018 and 2020 but will still be...
Two commonly-suggested reforms to the Electoral College — expanding the size of the House of Representatives, or allocating Electoral Votes in proportion to the popular vote...
I have written a couple of articles here about the net difference by party in the number of Representatives retiring from the House. I found a...
A simple trend model predicts Joe Biden will hold a lead in the polls between 9.8 and thirteen points on Election Day. Biden has increased his...
The novel corona virus pretty much guarantees that the American economy will decline this year. While the President and most pundits have focused on how a...
Senate campaigns that outspent their opponents by two-to-one in 2016 and 2018 typically gained a bit over one percent at the polls. Spending by outside groups,...
The polling organizations at both Quinnipiac and Monmouth Colleges this week released “favorability” scores for all the Democratic candidates. Respondents are asked “is your opinion of...
